Sunday, February 27, 2011

Severe Weather Outbreak Likely Today in to Tonight For Central US.

A very potent upper level system with a very strong jet stream flow will clash with very warm, moist air from the gulf along with a deepening low pressure center now over the four corners region.  Storms will erupt very quickly   around eastern Kansas and western Missouri.  These storms should move quickly to the ENE though the afternoon and evening hours and will be capable of all modes of severe weather with destructive hail and damaging wind gusts being the primary threat, although an isolated tornado can not be ruled out.  The greater threat will come later in the evening from eastern Oklahoma in to western/central Arkansas.  Here, a greater tornado and wind threat will exist and will continue to move from the Ozark plateau in to the Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys overnight.  The storms should start out as discreet supercells and eventually merge in to a single linear system which will affect a widespread area.  This is a particularly dangerous situation as storms will continue, and possibly intensify, during the overnight hours.  Stay tuned to later forecasts and updates on this developing weather situation. Have a great day!

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Lightning

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Photo: Matt Sauerbrey 8.11.07